Zero Hanger - Alex Patterson
Premiership Odds: $19
Prediction: 8th
Moving on to the top eight and Collingwood along with Geelong were
the two best recruiters in the off-season and it should see the Magpies
return to September action.
While, James Aish has yet to prove himself at AFL level, Jeremy Howe
and Adam Treloar are very good pickups, especially the latter, who will
fit effortlessly into a strong Collingwood midfield.
The Pies have just one player older than 28 (Dane Swan) and a
majority of first-choice players in the 22-27 age bracket. Their best 22
looks capable of finals action if all play to their peak, however, they
will still need things to go right throughout the season.
Let's not forget at June last year, Collingwood were sitting in the
four, having lost just the three games. They are definitely capable of
mixing it with the best, but that drop off following they bye is
something Buckley should be concerned about.
Never the less, if the likes of Darcy Moore, Taylor Adams, Jack
Frost, Jordan De Goey, Jamie Elliot, Aish and Treloar improve at a
faster rate than usual, then expect the Pies to be playing finals.
Key Ins:
James Aish, Jeremy Howe, Adam Treloar, Brayden Sier, Tom Phillips, Rupert Wills
Key Outs:
Nathan Freeman, Ben Kennedy, Clinton Young, Patrick Karnezis
Key Player: Scott Pendlebury
No one is as important as this man is in Collingwood's 22, and as one
of the most consistent players in the AFL today, this won't change in
2016 as he re-loads for another huge year.
Pendlebury captured his fourth club best and fairest award, placing
him in elite company along with club legends Bob Rose, Len Thompson and
current-coach Nathan Buckley.
Over his last five seasons, Pendles has averaged between 28 and 29
possessions per game - truly incredible numbers. His silky smooth skills
and innate ability to weave in and out of packs is something football
fans can only watch in awe.
It seems like the midfielder can just pause the game and assess all
his options. He looks like he has so much time to pick his spot and much
of that comes from his basketball background.
The Magpie champion is set for another sensational season in 2016 and it will be a pleasure to watch him at his best.
Rising Star: Darcy Moore
The 19-year old had a breakout game against the Dogs in round 17 last
season, kicking five goals in just his third AFL game. Moore only
kicked nine goals in nine games in 2015, but that performance against
the Bulldogs showed he has the capacity to succeed Travis Cloke as the
club's spearhead.
Originally drafted as a forward, Moore showed his versatility by
playing in the backline at the beginning of the VFL season, and his
aggressiveness in the contests showed he has the skill and ability to
play in multiple areas of the field.
Moore oozes excitement and his true passion for the game, along with
his impressive skill set, means he will be making Pies fans smile for
years to come.
Under the Pump: Jesse White
He can be one of the most frustrating players in the league to watch,
and that's just down to the fact that he has not taken his chance by
the scruff on the neck.
White is a formidable figure who is blessed with pace, but he has yet
to secure a key post in the Collingwood forward line and looks like
Moore is already ahead of him in the pecking order.
Traded from Sydney at the end of 2013, the big forward kicked a
respectable 27 goals at the club in 2015, but it simply isn't good
enough for someone who should be one of the game's most feared forwards.
He needs to stand up when it matters if he is to keep Moore, Jeremy Howe and even rookie Corey Gault on the fringes.
Strength: Defence (not conceding)
Collingwood's defence ranked eighth in points conceded in 2015, and
ranked in the top six in least inside 50s and rebounds 50s conceded.
This performance was largely om the back of Frost and Brown, who held
the backline down as two of the more unknown but effective key position
defenders.
The way they performed in 2015 will allow Ben Reid to go forward, but
both will want to continue their good form from last season if they
want to keep Matt Scharenberg out of the team, who will return from
injury late in the year.
Williams and Langdon were among the best rebounding defenders in the
league in 2015, both developing significantly and providing a complement
for Goldsack and Alan Toovey, who provide tight, tough game styles.
The reason I have their defence as their strength and not their
midfield, is that all these players have more potential to unlock,
excluding Brown and Goldsack, who have pretty much reached their peak.
Its a backline that is well organised and strong in rebounding that
should see the club replicate their defensive form from last year into
2016.
Weakness: Scoring
Howe comes across from Melbourne as someone the Pies hope can be
effective, but there is little evidence to suggest he is anything other
than a high-flying marker.
Moore played with energy and excitement in 2015 and looks set to be
the focal point of this forward line for years, but he'll need to
develop consistency throughout the year and its too much to pin all your
goalkicking hopes on a 19-year old.
Ben Reid is very injury prone and will be hoping for a clean run and
is best when used as a forward, but is he a goalkicking machine? I'm not
so sure.
Cloke is sill their elite forward, but he needs to prove he can
adjust to today's game - he needs to be more than just a lead-up
forward. Anything like what he has delivered in the most part of the
last two years, then Collingwood will struggle to find goals, its as
simple as that.
Jamie Elliot is a small-forward option, but fell away badly in 2015,
kicking just 11 goals in the last ten games of the season. He still
finished however, with a respectable 35 goals.
The problem is Collingwood lack the player who they can definitely
say 'yep, he'll get us the goals we need this season', and it will
become a huge problem if they don't have two to three players, kicking
over 50 goals each this season.
What the fixture looks like: Good
They open with tough clashes against Richmond and Sydney and have
their first back-to-back road games in 21 years in rounds 16 and 17.
They double-up however against Carlton and Melbourne, and their last
six games are in Melbourne, so there should be little to fear in this
draw for the Pies.
Best 22
B: Marley Williams, Jack Frost, Alan Toovey
HB: Tom Langdon, Nathan Brown, Adam Oxley
C: Steele Sidebottom, Scott Pendelbury, Jack Crisp
HF: Jeremy Howe, Ben Reid, Dane Swan
F: Darcy Moore, Travis Cloke, Jamie Elliot
R: Brodie Grundy, Taylor Adams, Adam Treloar
I: Levi Greenwood, James Aish, Jesse White, Alex Fasolo
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