With the 2013 AFL season now underway, punters with online bookmaker sportsbet are beginning to make it clear which teams they want to be on to win the flag, and it may not be last year’s grand finalists.
And in a sign of how even this season is tipped to be, not surprisingly the money from punters has been even over a number of teams.
Although Hawthorn have again entered the season as favourites, the punters aren’t convinced, with Collingwood and Geelong emerging as the best backed teams.
In an even bigger surprise, reigning premiers Sydney have also attracted no interest from punters.
2013 AFL betting trends:
- After opening at $4.00 to win the flag following their 2012 Grand Final loss, the Hawks have been friendless over the pre-season, drifting out to $5.00. Despite being favourites, they are only the 6th best backed team overall.
- Collingwood have not only flown under the radar at $7.50, but have received more money to win the flag than any other team.
- Punters think that Geelong have one more shot at the title left in them, and are the second best backed team overall. They have been the biggest movers of the top chances, now into $9.00 after opening at $18. Two smart punters were quick to jump on at their big odds, placing individual bets of $10,000 at $18 and $14 respectively.
- The Kangaroos have attracted a lot of interest from punters and are the fourth best backed team at $34.
- Despite winning last year’s flag and getting the services of Kurt Tippett in the second half of the year, the Swans are only the 5th best backed team at $7.00.
- Port Adelaide have received the least amount of bets and money to win the flag than any other team ($151), including GWS ($1001) and Gold Coast ($751).
- It looks like the Tigers will finally make the finals, firming from $2.01 to $1.80 to make the top 8.
- Not only are punters tipping the Pies for the flag, but they look to be the safest bet to make the finals at $1.25, with over $100,000 already bet on them to do so.
Markets courtesy of sportsbet.com.au:
| Best backed teams by the punters | |
| 1st – Collingwood 2nd – Geelong 3rd – West Coast 4th – North Melbourne 5th – Sydney 6th – Hawthorn 7th – Carlton 8th – Fremantle 9th – Essendon |
10th – Adelaide 11th – Brisbane 12th – Richmond 13th – Melbourne 14th – St Kilda 15th – Western Bulldogs 16th – Gold Coast 17th – GWS 18th – Port Adelaide |
| 2013 Premiership winner (Prices in brackets from when the market opened on September 28th) |
|
| $5.00 Hawthorn (out from $4.00) $7.00 Sydney (out from $6.00) $7.50 West Coast (out from $6.00) $7.50 Collingwood (in from $8.10) $9.00 Geelong (in from $18) $10 Carlton (in from $12) $10 Fremantle (in from $10.90) $16 Adelaide (out from $9.00) $17 Essendon (out from $12) |
$23 Richmond (out from $18.50) $34 St Kilda (out from $15) $34 North Melbourne (out from $18.50) $67 Brisbane (out from $44) $151 Port Adelaide (out from $64) $251 Melbourne (out from $126) $401 Western Bulldogs (out from $126) $751 Gold Coast (out from $251) $1001 GWS (out from $251) |
| 2013 Wooden Spoon (Prices in brackets from when the market opened on October 31st) |
|
| $1.45 GWS (out from $1.36) $5.50 Gold Coast (out from $5.00) $6.50 Western Bulldogs (in from $8.00) $12 Melbourne (in from $15) $17 Essendon (in from $251) $21 Port Adelaide (out from $16) $51 Brisbane Lions (in from $81) $201 St Kilda (steady) $251 Adelaide (in from $501) |
$251 North Melbourne (steady) $251 Richmond (steady) $251 West Coast (in from $501) $501 Carlton (steady) $501 Collingwood (steady) $501 Fremantle (steady) $501 Geelong (steady) $1001 Hawthorn (steady) $1001 Sydney (out from $501) |
| To make the top 8 (Prices in brackets from when market opened on 29th October) |
|
| $1.10 Hawthorn (steady) $1.16 Sydney (out from $1.10) $1.25 Collingwood (in from $1.51) $1.25 Fremantle (in from $1.46) $1.33 West Coast (out from $1.10) $1.36 Carlton (in from $1.67) $1.40 Geelong (in from $1.52) $1.57 Adelaide (out from $1.36) $1.75 Essendon (in from $1.92) |
$1.80 Richmond (in from $2.01) $2.75 St Kilda (out from $2.50) $2.75 North Melbourne (out from $2.55) $2.85 Brisbane (in from $3.55) $9.00 Port Adelaide (in from $9.70) $11 Melbourne (in from $13.50) $21 Western Bulldogs (out from $17) $26 Gold Coast (in from $121) $61 GWS (in from $501) |
| To make the top 4 (Prices in brackets from when market opened on 29th October) |
|
| $1.50 Hawthorn (out from $1.42) $1.80 Sydney (steady) $2.10 Collingwood (in from $3.00) $2.20 West Coast (out from $1.90) $2.25 Fremantle (in from $3.25) $2.85 Carlton (in from $3.00) $3.00 Geelong (steady) $3.74 Essendon (in from $6.00) $4.00 Richmond (in from $5.00) |
$4.50 Adelaide (out from $2.40) $6.00 St Kilda (steady) $8.00 Brisbane (in from $12) $8.00 North Melbourne (in from $7.50) $51 Melbourne (in from $101) $51 Port Adelaide (steady) $101 Western Bulldogs (steady) $501 GWS (in from $1001) $501 Gold Coast (steady) |
| Round 1 (Prices in brackets from Friday 22nd March) |
|
| $1.70 Carlton (steady) $2.18 Richmond (steady) $1.48 Brisbane (in from $1.50) $2.65 Western Bulldogs (out from $2.55) $1.06 Sydney (steady) $9.00 GWS (steady) $1.27 St Kilda (steady) $3.75 Gold Coast (steady) |
$1.85 Melbourne (out from $1.80) $1.95 Port Adelaide (in from $2.00) $1.50 Collingwood (steady) $2.55 North Melbourne (steady) $1.60 Hawthorn (out from $1.55) $2.30 Geelong (in from $2.45) |
| AFL Round 2 | |
| $1.78 Richmond (steady) $1.95 St Kilda (steady) $1.04 Sydney (steady) $9.00 Gold Coast (steady) $1.24 Fremantle (in from $1.33) $3.75 Western Bulldogs (out from $3.10) $1.85 Brisbane (in from $2.00) $1.90 Adelaide (out from $1.75) $1.16 Essendon (in from $1.22) $4.75 Melbourne (out from $4.00) |
$1.33 Port Adelaide (steady) $3.10 GWS (steady) $1.43 Geelong (steady) $2.65 North Melbourne (steady) $1.53 Collingwood (out from $1.50) $2.40 Carlton (in from $2.45) $1.80 West Coast (out from $1.62) $2.00 Hawthorn (in from $2.20) |
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